Modeling of predictions of the danger of destructive influences on information processes
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Suleymanov, Artur Ramilevich PhD in Political Sciences, Assistant Professor, USPTU, Ufa, Russia suly-artur@rambler.ru
Galiullina, Svetlana Dmitrievna D.Sc. in History, Professor, Head of Department of Foreign Regional Studies and History, UGNTU, Ufa, Russia galiullinasd@ya.ru
Gerasimova, Daria Igorevna PhD in History, Assistant Professor, USPTU, Ufa, Russia gerasimova_89@mail.ru
Abstract Information processes operating in the modern digital environment are susceptible to destructive effects and attacks. Modeling and forecasting tools are important elements of ensuring the sustainability of the information infrastructure, which make it possible to identify failures in the system in a timely manner and adequately respond to the destructive impact. The problem touched upon in the article is urgent and topical, requiring a scientific and technological solution. The destructive impact on information processes is determined by its qualitative and quantitative factors. Qualitative factors, which include communication (F1), technology (F2) and quality (F3) of information exchange, form corresponding clusters. The article concludes that the threat and danger to information processes can be carried not only by individual factors grouped into clusters, but also by a synergistic effect from their interaction. The presentation of the research issues presented in the article was facilitated by the use of approaches and methods (system, communication, project and cluster-network) used in the theory of communications and project management. The scientific and practical value of the work done is that it allows you to identify failures in the information process based on the author’s methods and the cluster-network paradigm. At the end of the article, the question of the applicability of mediation to the elimination of failures and risks in the information process is considered.